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  1. “十年以后,中国的经济总量将是日本的两到三倍,那时我们再看靖国神社里的丑剧,说不准会带着什么样的轻蔑态度。”
    根据著名的政治学教授、深谙国际法、长期主张中国对钓鱼岛拥有主权的、纽约大学熊玠(James C. Hsiung),这事不能等。如果现在中国将钓鱼岛问题交国际法庭,还有可能赢;但十年后,输的机会更大。

  2. “迫于中国海监现场执法压力,日本渔船陆续驶离我钓鱼岛领海”
    正确的事应该把这些日本入侵者抓回中国,审批,然后驱逐出境。那样才能一不损中国人的尊严,二表示中国对钓鱼岛的正当主权。

  3. 来源:人民网-环球时报

      安倍晋三又放出两句狠话。一是他在23日说,“向钓鱼岛派驻公务员或建造港口等各种选择时常在我的脑海中”。二是他24日谈到参拜靖国神社时说:“我 阁僚不会向任何威胁屈服。”值得注意的是,这名中国人眼里满口好斗语言、缺少起码稳健的日本首相,目前在选民中享有70%以上罕见高支持率。

      不能说安倍支持率高就是因为他对中国强硬,但他的好斗姿态显然是帮他加分的因素。只要日本社会继续右倾化,安倍就可以用这一套如鱼得水。

      中国社会有一种非主流的想法:中国应当“豁出去”,用“更高强硬”压垮日本的意志。但这并不现实。连萨达姆、米洛舍维奇那么弱小的政权面对美国的最后通牒时,都没有被吓倒。中国的强硬姿态,即使加上经济制裁,用来让日本“服软”看来远远不够用。

      中国没有对日本“一招制胜”的现实手段。日本人对今天的中国什么都不怕,但他们怕一样东西,就是今天的中国乘以时间。中国如此之大和它快速发展所展示的潜力让日本感到窒息,只有这一潜力逐渐展开成为现实的过程,能最终将日本政客供在靖国神社里的那股“精神”摧毁。

      安倍及他身边的高官差不多一天冒出一句针对中国的狠话,这表明日本的政治已经不务正业。无论在钓鱼岛还是靖国神社,日本搞多少花样都挽救不了其国家实力加速衰败的颓势,中国人恰恰应从日本人的好斗中看出,日本的政治方向其实是无人对国家未来负责的破罐子破摔。

      中国如今对日本占据了“势”的主动,日本做挑衅说狠话,制造一些局部的主动,可以安抚整个国家因大势已去的焦虑和恐惧。把中国拖进中日之间这些相当边缘的冲突中,会带给日本人一些他们的国家仍然强大、有力的幻觉。

      我们当然不会因为不耐烦而从钓鱼岛、靖国神社的冲突中一走了事。但我们也决不能把它们误当成中日实力较量的“主战场”。因为它们的确不是。想想看,十年以后,中国的经济总量将是日本的两到三倍,那时我们再看靖国神社里的丑剧,说不准会带着什么样的轻蔑态度。

      因此既然中日关系僵在这里,我们就让它僵下去。在钓鱼岛我们已经打破日本的所谓“实际控制”,可以暂不继续往前走,今后一段时间就在现有状态下与日本 拉锯。只要双方都不派军舰,中国就应造更大的海监船去同日本船只“摩擦”,其实谁的船多船大,谁就“控制”了钓鱼岛海域。

      中国应加紧军事准备,随着日本的军事姿态升级而展示自己的军事能力。中国这样“备而不打”实际上能够剥夺日本的动武选项。钓鱼岛也许会“乱成一团”,日本公务员登岛,我们就也派公务员登岛,两国的执法力量对峙、甚至“打架”,但未必会发展成“打仗”。

      中国中断还是恢复同安倍政府的高层交往并不重要,重要的是中国社会要有战略上的坚定自信,以中国坦然的不变应对日本焦虑的万变。与日本斗不应让中国难受,恰恰相反,这是我们有战略把握、并且应当很享受的过程。
    中日即将开始防务部门局长级谈判。制定避免中日军事冲突的措施对中国没什么不利,因此我们愿意看到这样的谈判能有成果。至于钓鱼岛主权争议,可让海监部门继续打头阵,而中国经济蓬勃发展其实在完整地参与其中。